LSC Northeast Kingdom Forecast

Student Meteorologist: Jeff Bonneau
Forecast Posted on Tuesday Mar 10, 2009 10:37
** The latest forecast for Northeast**
** including Caledonia, Orleans, and Essex Counties**

!!! Watches, Warnings and Advisories !!!
FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT RAINFALL COMBINED WITH SNOW
MELT AND POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAMS COULD CAUSE AREA RIVERS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE BEGINNING AS EARLY AS LATE TONIGHT. RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH AN
APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL BE HIGHEST IN SOUTHERN COUNTIES OF VERMONT AND THE
ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK WITH UP TO 3 QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN POSSIBLE
BEFORE TEMPERATURES COOL WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WHILE RAINFALL RATES WILL BE LESS
FURTHER NORTH...THERE IS GREAT POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING...AS SEVERAL ICE
JAMS FROM PREVIOUS THAWS ARE ALREADY IN PLACE. IN ADDITION...THE SNOW PACK AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS IS LARGELY SATURATED FROM EARLIER RAIN AND THAW EVENTS OVER
THE PAST WEEK...FURTHER AIDING THE FLOOD POTENTIAL.


Forecast Discussion:
Warm temperatures were the story a couple days ago, snow yesterday, and another
storm on the way for tonight and tomorrow where a mix of snow, sleet, and rain
is expected. However, the big story isn't how much frozen precipitation we'll
see, it's how much rain and snow melt could occur and trigger ice jams and
possible flooding with area streams and rivers. As tonight progresses we'll see
rain develope throughout the Northeast Kingdom which will transition over to a
mix of rain, sleet, and snow and then once again back over to rain by tomorrow
morning. High pressure will then build in for Thursday and Friday with more
seasonable temperatures.


Tuesday Night (Mar 10, 2009)
Rain, transitioning to a mix of rain, sleet, and snow by 11pm. Total sleet and
snow accumulations of around a slushy half inch. Winds could gust as high as 20
miles per hour out of the south.

High: F  Low: 33 to 38F 

Wednesday  (Mar 11, 2009)
Snow, Sleet, and rain transitioning to all rain by 10 AM. Rainfall amounts
beween a tenth and a quarter of an inch. Winds could gust as high as 15 to 20
miles per hour out of the south.

High: 42 to 48F  Low: F 

Wednesday Night (Mar 11, 2009)
Any lingering rain showers will change over to snow showers. Little to no
accumulation expected.

High: F  Low: 12 to 20F 

Thursday  (Mar 12, 2009)
Partly cloudy with peaks of sun throughout the day. Winds out of the west
between 5 and 10 miles per hour and gusts as high as 15 to 20 miles per hour.

High: 24 to 30F  Low: F 

Thursday Night (Mar 12, 2009)
Partly Cloudy.

High: F  Low: 2 to 10F 


Next Update: Wednesday at 1pm